Speaker of the House Mike Johnson is going on television and claiming that the polls showing Republicans trailing are all wrong.
Johnson said recently on Fox News:
Those polls are wrong. They’re based on faulty analysis. Look, in the last week, Shannon, you’ve had two polling organizations nationwide be exposed for completely fraudulent numbers, and the more traditional researchers and poll organizations are acknowledging that they’ve been under-sampling Republicans.
In fact, CNN ran a story less than a week ago, and they said that 14 out of the last 16 October polls in those elections, they under-sampled Republicans by an average of four points. Republicans are no longer responding to polls.
There is some validity to the idea that fewer Republicans are responding to polls, because fewer people in general are responding to polls, but to claim that pollsters are underpolling Republicans and are faulty is delusional thinking.
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By a variety of metrics, whether it be the audience drop in conservative media, election results, or individual donors, conservatives are showing a lack of interest in the midterm election.
What may be happening is that Democratic, not Republican, support is being underestimated by the polling.
The reason why has to do with who is voting in 2026.