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Republicans Predict They Will Lose 60-70 House Seats If Trump Starts Iran Ground War

House Republicans are worrying that if Trump escalates the war with Iran to a ground war, they will lose 60-70 seats in the midterm election.

Sarah Jones & Jason Easley's avatar
Sarah Jones & Jason Easley
Mar 27, 2026
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During the same week that Democrats opened up their biggest lead (11 points) on the generic congressional midterm ballot, Republicans are worrying that Trump’s ground war in Iran could lead to their annihilation at home.

Trump’s supporters have always hung their hats on one of the few positions that the president has remained consistent on.

Donald Trump has spent a decade-plus railing against US involvement in foreign wars. Trump bragged almost daily during the 2024 election that while in office, he did not get the country entangled in any new foreign conflicts.

There is a large segment of the Republican Party, including Trump’s base, that has veered into isolationism, which is why so many Republicans view Trump’s itchy trigger finger during his second administration as a betrayal.

The Republicans who have supported Trump in his Iran war have based their support on the idea that the war would be fast and not involve ground troops.

Recent reporting has revealed that Trump is weighing putting US boots on the ground.

If Donald Trump follows through on the path that he appears to be going down, it will be a disaster for Republicans in the midterm election, according to Republicans.

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